Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.002260 0.002389 0.002527 0.002684 0.002861 0.003054 0.003283
2025-02-23 0.002109 0.002295 0.002503 0.002757 0.003062 0.003424 0.003895
2025-03-02 0.001950 0.002163 0.002410 0.002725 0.003125 0.003629 0.004342
2025-03-09 0.001816 0.002042 0.002311 0.002665 0.003134 0.003757 0.004702
2025-03-16 0.001758 0.002003 0.002305 0.002715 0.003283 0.004085 0.005410
2025-03-23 0.001705 0.001965 0.002293 0.002752 0.003414 0.004403 0.006188
2025-03-30 0.001635 0.001899 0.002238 0.002723 0.003445 0.004571 0.006755
2025-04-06 0.001557 0.001819 0.002158 0.002651 0.003399 0.004606 0.007080
2025-04-13 0.001502 0.001765 0.002109 0.002618 0.003409 0.004733 0.007633
2025-04-20 0.001416 0.001666 0.001994 0.002482 0.003244 0.004530 0.007395
2025-04-27 0.001382 0.001635 0.001971 0.002479 0.003291 0.004714 0.008127
2025-05-04 0.001372 0.001636 0.001991 0.002539 0.003447 0.005129 0.009664
2025-05-11 0.001342 0.001609 0.001974 0.002547 0.003522 0.005415 0.011115
2025-05-18 0.001330 0.001608 0.001993 0.002612 0.003708 0.005990 0.014223
2025-05-25 0.001293 0.001569 0.001955 0.002583 0.003719 0.006174 0.016081
2025-06-01 0.001251 0.001522 0.001903 0.002529 0.003674 0.006218 0.017366
2025-06-08 0.001239 0.001516 0.001912 0.002574 0.003828 0.006807 0.023468
2025-06-15 0.001224 0.001506 0.001913 0.002608 0.003963 0.007402 0.033276
2025-06-22 0.001196 0.001476 0.001882 0.002582 0.003972 0.007631 0.041571
2025-06-29 0.001160 0.001433 0.001830 0.002516 0.003887 0.007548 0.044606
2025-07-06 0.001134 0.001404 0.001799 0.002486 0.003878 0.007713 0.056283
2025-07-13 0.001088 0.001344 0.001717 0.002362 0.003653 0.007113 0.042985
2025-07-20 0.001071 0.001327 0.001703 0.002359 0.003697 0.007436 0.060996